Intrepid
Minerals Corp. - written by
Mike Kachanovsky
Junior minerals
exploration is risky business, with the odds very much against any project
advancing from grass roots stage through to profitable production.
In fact it has been estimated that only one in one thousand exploration
projects ever become economic mines. With
this in mind, it is very important to focus on companies with more than one high
quality development project in the pipeline, for investors seeking exposure in
the sector. Intrepid Minerals
Corporation has chosen to focus activity in Argentina and El Salvador, in search
of precious metals deposits. They
have advanced their Casposo Project in Argentina to the pre-feasibility stage,
posting impressive high grade gold and silver showings over wide intervals in
several rounds of drilling, and have recently outlined several encouraging
silver and gold occurrences on their block of property holdings in El Salvador,
with drilling ongoing. The company
now has a legitimate shot at taking these properties all the way to production.
This provides Intrepid with an extra dimension to achieve success, as
they will have additional options on whether to vend one property off entirely,
seek a joint venture arrangement with another company to fund development costs
while maintaining a minority interest, or proceeding ahead with full development
alone, and they will still have another property under control with attractive
development prospects. From an
investment point of view, this affords investors the potential for significant
capital appreciation as their development options and ongoing exploration
increase the expectation that Intrepid will make the jump to the status of a
producer. I own shares of Intrepid
Minerals. I would like to thank Mr.
Stephen Coates for his assistance during the preparation of this report.
Overview:
Head Office:
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Phone Number:
416-368-4524
Website Address:
www.intrepidminerals.com
Exchange Listings:
TSX-Venture Exchange (IAU)
Berlin Exchange (IP6)
Share Structure:
Shares issued: 41,494,628
Options
($.20-1.72): 3,142,500
Warrants
($.55-.90): 7,000,805
Fully
diluted: 51,637,933
Treasury:
$ 5,300,000 in cash (fully diluted $12,557,900)
Lawrence Curtis has
held the title of President of Intrepid since its inception in 1996, and has
taken the company to its current stage through patient and methodical
exploration and analysis throughout the long bear market for precious metals
that was in effect for much of Intrepid’s existence. Choosing to focus on the relatively unexplored areas of El
Salvador provided Intrepid with an opportunity to acquire large properties with
excellent potential during a time when it was difficult for junior explorers to
raise capital. Bill McGuinty,
VP of Exploration also has experience in the Caribbean basin during his 20-year
career. The current board of
directors is well stocked with experience in junior exploration and mine
development, including co-founder David Mosher, President of High River Gold
Mines Ltd., a major shareholder in Intrepid.
Recently Ian McDonald was appointed to the board of directors, and as the
founder of Wheaton River Minerals, he adds his experience in the development of
mining operations should Intrepid choose that route as they advance exploration.
Projects:
In 2002 Intrepid
acquired a 100% interest in the Casposo Property, a 35 square kilometer property
in the El Indio gold belt of San Juan Province, Argentina.
This package was later extended to over 100 square kilometers with the
acquisition of adjacent concessions. A
3 km mineralized corridor has been mapped out on which several higher-grade
gold-silver zones have been identified. Much
of the exploration work has been focused on the Kamilla Zone (intersections of
12m grading 61g/t gold and 853 g/t silver, and 9.2m grading 13.7g/t gold and
1517 g/t silver in hole CA-04-89) and the Mercado Zone (intersections of 6m
grading 6.14g/t gold and 570 g/t silver, 8.6m assayed at .85g/t gold and 211g/t
silver, and 6m grading 4.31g/t gold and 502g/t silver).
Further exploration work has identified a much larger system with several
veins mapped out for several kilometers. The
current resource of 400,000 ounces gold equivalent could be expected to increase
as the deposit remains open at depth and further extensions of the veins
laterally remain to be drill tested. Metallurgical
studies have yielded high recoveries in the range of 90% gold and 75% silver
enhancing the economic attractiveness of the deposit.
A total of $1.65 million has been budgeted for ongoing exploration at
Casposo, with 8000m of drilling planned for 2004.
The shallow, high-grade ore deposit is suitable for an open-pit mining
operation, and the objective is to further define and increase this resource and
proceed to a feasibility study in 2005. The
weakness in the Peso has made the economics of mining in Argentina very
attractive, and Intrepid is presently in negotiation to acquire further property
rights in proximity to Casposo, to assemble the basis for a larger-scale gold
and silver mining operation.
In El Salvador,
Intrepid is starting to see a payoff from a long-term presence in the country
dating back over 7 years. El
Salvador has a history of gold and silver mining activity since the Mayan
culture and the Spanish conquest. However
it was largely ignored in the 20th century, and Intrepid was able to
assemble a block of properties in the largest gold bearing district in the
country. The San Cristobal property
comprises 249 square kilometers, including the remains of many historic mines
that have been inactive for over 200 years and have never seen modern
exploration methods. In the
late-90s limited exploration work uncovered a deposit of about 200,000 ounces of
gold equivalent resource but it was not until recent drilling and trenching was
completed that the potential of the property has generated investor interest.
Trenching and sampling identified several high-grade veins, with wide
intervals of gold and silver. The
Gigante vein was mapped out extending beyond 1.5 km.
The first drill core assay from the Gigante zone of the property yielded
an eye-popping 3m intersection of 17.6 g/t gold and 1569 g/t silver as reported
on March 3, 2004. Additional drill
core assays are pending. Intrepid
has also commenced a trenching program on a new discovery zone in the northwest
corner of San Cristobal, the Oro Nuevo. Trenching
work so far has returned high-grade gold assays up to 3.60 g/t over
exceptionally wide intervals of over 100 metres, and up to 5.24 g/t silver.
Management has taken precautions to ensure that the sampling process is
representative of the true ore grade, and confirmed assay results at independent
laboratory facilities. A 5000m
drilling program has been announced for 2004 commencing in June, to follow up on
the encouraging earlier results, with $1.65 million budgeted, and additional
geophysical surveying work and sampling scheduled.
Given that the region has produced bonanza grades of 12-15 g/t gold and
200-1000 g/t silver from historic mining activity, it is likely that a thorough
exploration program will uncover additional high-grade zones at San Cristobal,
and the property is fast developing into another ace up the sleeve for Intrepid
Minerals.
Outlook:
As April 2004 comes
to a close, the precious metals sector has been under pressure due to a variety
of reasons. Intrepid has seen the
share price drop from a high of $1.43 to the current price of 90 cents, despite
the encouraging results of recent exploration work, and the high probability
that further high grade zones will be discovered on their projects as
exploration continues. The
fundamentals for precious metals remain overly bullish and indicate a rising
price for gold and silver despite the weakness and profit taking that has
characterized much of 2004. Eventually
rising commodity prices will encourage investors to return to the junior
exploration companies, favoring those with opportunities for major new deposit
discoveries and rapid development towards production.
This period of weakness may be viewed as an exceptional opportunity to
acquire shares of Intrepid at a discount, thereby increasing the potential gains
as the company advances their projects.
Junior exploration
companies trade relative to the strength of the commodity markets, but they are
primarily leveraged to news. The
active exploration program budgeted for the remainder of 2004, and the
likelihood for positive results during this program, combined with renewed
interest towards junior exploration companies from investors, could all result
in a perfect storm for Intrepid later in the year.
During the month of March investors were treated to an example of this as
the share price more than doubled as a result of positive drilling results in
Argentina and El Salvador. The
period of consolidation since then will stabilize the trading activity allowing
for the potential of future episodes of explosive price appreciation later in
the year. Additional news is
expected regularly from the company with extensive trenching, sampling, and
drilling scheduled in the months ahead.
The risks for
investors holding Intrepid are those one would expect in the sector.
There are no guarantees that the company will continue to uncover
additional resources, and the economic viability of the known deposits has yet
to be proven through a feasibility study. The
underlying commodity pricing is notoriously volatile and could languish for many
months, putting pressure on the junior exploration sector.
Though Argentina and El Salvador are considered to be safe, stable, and
pro-mining regimes with a long history of successful mining activity, the
potential remains for unforeseen challenges to the claims or control of
properties. Despite the current
well-funded status of the treasury, there is no guarantee that the funds will be
sufficient to fund the remaining exploration required, or that additional funds
will be advanced through future equity offerings.
An investment in the shares of Intrepid then should only be considered as
a speculative venture by risk tolerant investors.
Within the junior
exploration sector (considered as a group for comparison purposes), Intrepid
offers investors reduced overall risk through sound, experienced management, a
well funded treasury, no long-term debt, controlling interests in late stage,
high quality properties, and a low market capitalization.
Management has indicated the objective for the company is to define an
economic deposit on each property, and then consider options for development,
which would include advancing the projects to a producing mine, partnering with
another company to share in the costs, or vending one project outright to raise
capital to fund the development of another.
This wide range of options open to Intrepid will result in additional
opportunities to create shareholder value with successful exploration activity.
Typically junior exploration companies are valued on a multiple to the
contained ounces of their deposits, with the values rising as the projects are
carried through the development stages towards reaching full production.
The optimum risk/reward consideration from an investor’s point of view
for such companies occurs from the post discovery phase.
If Intrepid Minerals achieves their goal to uncover a large mineral
deposits contained on their properties, investors could benefit through
potential gains of several hundred percent from current prices.
Disclaimer: I have made my research and opinions available to the public as a resource to provide investors and the public with basic information. My comments and opinions should not be interpreted as a recommendation or investment advice, which I am not qualified to provide. While I have made every effort to maintain accuracy in the information I provide, it is possible that there are some errors or omissions in my coverage and the accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It remains the responsibility of each individual investor to confirm if the subject of my analysis is appropriate for their investment objectives, and to conduct their own research and due diligence, and retain the services of a qualified advisor on to provide this service on their behalf. I accept no responsibility for the performance of the companies that I feature in my coverage. Junior mining and exploration companies are a risky market sector and investment in these companies can result in loss of capital. Past performance is no guarantee of future success. From time to time I may purchase stocks in the companies I feature in my reports, and I may sell some or all of my holdings. I will disclose personal ownership in those companies that I refer to at the time of my first coverage, or after follow up reports. I do not accept compensation from companies as payment to provide positive coverage or opinions